OpenAI won't turn a profit until 2030 at the earliest. Anthropic gets there a bit sooner, maybe 2028, but still burns through cash for years before that. These aren't rumours or analyst guesses. This is what the companies themselves are telling potential investors as they prep for IPOs, and the Wall Street Journal got a look at the numbers.
Here's the part that stops you mid-scroll. OpenAI expects to spend $121 billion on computing power in 2028 alone. That's not total operating costs. That's just the compute bill for training AI models. For context, they'll spend around $25 billion on that same thing this year. So we're talking about a near fivefold increase in roughly three years. Anthropic's numbers are smaller but the trajectory is the same direction: up, aggressively, for a long time.
What makes this genuinely interesting is that revenue is also surging. OpenAI projects nearly $275 billion in revenue by 2030, spending faster than it earns, on purpose, because the bet is that whoever builds the most capable models owns the market. The losses are the strategy, not a bug in it.